Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs Duckworth
BUY YES
- Cost
- 52.0¢
- Implied chance
- 52.0%
- Return if right
- 92.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.
YES wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $96.08.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 50.0¢
- Implied chance
- 50.0%
- Return if right
- 100.0%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 200.0 shares at 50.0¢ each.
NO wins: $200.00 back, a profit of $100.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $104.08.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner51.5%
- US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth Total Sets: O/U 3.565.0%
- US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs J…54.5%
- US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth Match O/U 38.553.0%
- US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth Set 2 Winner53.0%
- US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth Game Spread +/-0.551.5%
Latest: Aug 28, 07:35 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘The Challenge’ Contestants Pay Tribute to Tyler Duckworth: ‘You Were the Brother I Never Had’Variety · 12d ago
- Tyler Duckworth, ‘The Challenge’ star and reality TV veteran, dies at 44NBC News · 14d ago
- Tyler Duckworth, ‘The Challenge’ Winner, Dies at 44The Hollywood Reporter · 15d ago
- Tyler Duckworth, ‘The Challenge’ Reality Show Winner, Dies at 44Variety · 15d ago
- Duckworth bill targets Pentagon's confusing accounting of Iran war casualtiesABC News · 22d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs Duckworth”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and James Duckworth in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Arnaldi” if Matteo Arnaldi wins the first set. It will resolve to “Duckworth” if James Duckworth wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other outcomes in US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth
- US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Match O/U 40.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Match O/U 38.5
- Set Handicap: Arnaldi (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5)
- Matteo Arnaldi vs. James Duckworth: Total Sets O/U 3.5
- Matteo Arnaldi vs. James Duckworth: Total Sets O/U 4.5
- Game Spread: Arnaldi (-0.5) vs Duckworth (+0.5)
- Set Handicap: Arnaldi (-2.5) vs Duckworth (+2.5)
- Set 2 Winner: Arnaldi vs Duckworth
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 3 Games O/U 8.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 3 Games O/U 9.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 3 Games O/U 10.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 4 Games O/U 8.5
- Arnaldi vs. Duckworth: Set 4 Games O/U 10.5