Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.8¢
- Implied chance
- 7.8%
- Return if right
- 1182.1%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 1282.1 shares at 7.8¢ each.
YES wins: $1282.05 back, a profit of $1182.05. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $106.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $1288.89.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 93.4¢
- Implied chance
- 93.4%
- Return if right
- 7.1%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 107.1 shares at 93.4¢ each.
NO wins: $107.07 back, a profit of $7.07. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.69 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.76.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- A must-win midterm state is the real loser of Trump's Canada trade warFox News · 7h ago
- Canada’s Proposed Oil Pipeline Offers Carney Relief From Domestic and Global TurmoilThe New York Times · 20h ago
- Canada to fast track oil pipeline meant to diversify economy away from USAl Jazeera · 21h ago
- As US relations fray, Canada gets serious about its own launch industryArs Technica · 1d ago
- Boots owner ‘closing in on sale to Canada’s Weston family for $9bn’The Guardian · 1d ago
- OpenAI ‘reviewing’ report of failed hacking attempt against Canada’s gov’tAl Jazeera · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.