Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?$33k liquidity$208k volumecloses 3.2mo
PoliticsWorldGeopoliticsSouth Korea
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
7.6¢
Implied chance
7.6%
Return if right
1215.8%
Spread cost
5%

If you put in $100

You get 1315.8 shares at 7.6¢ each.

YES wins: $1315.79 back, a profit of $1215.79. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $63.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $1279.31.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
93.1¢
Implied chance
93.1%
Return if right
7.4%
Spread cost
5%

If you put in $100

You get 107.4 shares at 93.1¢ each.

NO wins: $107.41 back, a profit of $7.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%7%Sep 8Sep 15

Latest: Sep 15, 06:42 AM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Yoon out of custody before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Yoon out of custody before 2027? (8% chance) | PullToPar