Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 84.0¢
- Implied chance
- 84.0%
- Return if right
- 19.0%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.
YES wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 19.0¢
- Implied chance
- 19.0%
- Return if right
- 426.3%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.
NO wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $45.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $471.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ukraine’s dismissed defence minister calls for wartime presidential electionThe Guardian · 1h ago
- Ukrainian drones overwhelm Russian tanks’ new active protection system—for nowArs Technica · 1h ago
- Russia reports Ukrainian drone strike near Zaporizhzhia nuclear plantAl Jazeera · 3h ago
- Hart on Man City's rebuild, Chelsea's opportunity and Arsenal's title defenceBBC Sport · 9h ago
- Volodymyr Zelensky names new Defence minister after weeks of political crisisFrance 24 · 9h ago
- Russia’s Oil Exports Extend Their Slump Amid Ukrainian Drone StrikesBloomberg · 10h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine. A nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify. An appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Yevhen Khmara takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position. If the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.