Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Fernandez
BUY YES
- Cost
- 40.0¢
- Implied chance
- 40.0%
- Return if right
- 150.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.
YES wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $159.74.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 63.0¢
- Implied chance
- 63.0%
- Return if right
- 58.7%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.
NO wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $62.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner37.0%
- US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Game Spread +/-3.552.5%
- US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.534.0%
- US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 8.560.5%
- US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 10.534.5%
- US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 Winner37.0%
Latest: Aug 28, 07:36 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Man City to make offer for £120m-rated FernandezBBC Sport · 2d ago
- Man City ready to meet Chelsea's Fernandez demand - Monday's gossipBBC Sport · 5d ago
- Chelsea happy with Fernandez, says AlonsoBBC Sport · 8d ago
- Why Fernandez uncertainty has echoes of Isak sagaBBC Sport · 10d ago
- Fernandez will cost Man City more than £120m - Tuesday's gossipBBC Sport · 11d ago
- Man City move for £85m Bouaddi and still want FernandezBBC Sport · 11d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Fernandez”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Shuai Zhang and Leylah Fernandez in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Zhang” if Shuai Zhang wins the first set. It will resolve to “Fernandez” if Leylah Fernandez wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Other outcomes in US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez
- US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez
- Set Handicap: Fernandez (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)
- Zhang vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 21.5
- Shuai Zhang vs. Leylah Fernandez: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- Set 2 Winner: Zhang vs Fernandez
- Zhang vs. Fernandez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- Game Spread: Fernandez (-3.5) vs Zhang (+3.5)
- Zhang vs. Fernandez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
- Zhang vs. Fernandez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
- Zhang vs. Fernandez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
- Zhang vs. Fernandez: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
- Zhang vs. Fernandez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
- Zhang vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 23.5
- Zhang vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 22.5
- US Open WTA: Completed Match: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez