Venus Williams vs. Sofia Kenin: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Q: Venus Williams vs. Sofia Kenin: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 32%. A YES share costs 32.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 212.5% over 9d.

US Open WTA: Venus Williams vs Sofia Kenin$2k liquidity$3 volumecloses 9d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 32.0¢
Implied chance: 32.0%
Return if right: 212.5%
Spread cost: 11%

If you put in $100

You get 312.5 shares at 32.0¢ each.

YES wins: $312.50 back, a profit of $212.50. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $238.98.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 73.0¢
Implied chance: 73.0%
Return if right: 37.0%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.

NO wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $41.84.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 28, 08:22 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Venus Williams and Sofia Kenin in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional sets required. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores