Set Handicap: Vidmanova (-1.5) vs Werner (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Vidmanova (-1.5) vs Werner (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 70%. A YES share costs 70.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 42.9% over 7d.

Monterrey Open, Qualification: Caroline Werner vs Darja Vidmanova$5k liquidity$4 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 70.0¢
Implied chance: 70.0%
Return if right: 42.9%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.

YES wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $45.99.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 33.0¢
Implied chance: 33.0%
Return if right: 203.0%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.

NO wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $217.46.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 22, 02:44 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Vidmanova and Caroline Werner in the Monterrey Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vidmanova" if Darja Vidmanova wins by 2 or more sets than Caroline Werner, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Werner." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores