Set Handicap: Kudermetova (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Kudermetova (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 26%. A YES share costs 26.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 284.6% over 7d.

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Xiyu Wang vs Polina Kudermetova$5k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 26.0¢
Implied chance: 26.0%
Return if right: 284.6%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 384.6 shares at 26.0¢ each.

YES wins: $384.62 back, a profit of $284.62. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $308.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 77.0¢
Implied chance: 77.0%
Return if right: 29.9%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 129.9 shares at 77.0¢ each.

NO wins: $129.87 back, a profit of $29.87. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $32.45.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 12:31 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kudermetova and Xiyu Wang in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kudermetova" if Polina Kudermetova wins by 2 or more sets than Xiyu Wang, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Wang." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores