Set 2 Winner: Vandewinkel vs Sramkova

Q: Set 2 Winner: Vandewinkel vs Sramkova

Prediction markets currently price this at 57%. A YES share costs 57.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 75.4% over 7d.

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Rebecca Sramkova$3k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 57.0¢
Implied chance: 57.0%
Return if right: 75.4%
Spread cost: 17%

If you put in $100

You get 175.4 shares at 57.0¢ each.

YES wins: $175.44 back, a profit of $75.44. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $90.48.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 52.0¢
Implied chance: 52.0%
Return if right: 92.3%
Spread cost: 16%

If you put in $100

You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.

NO wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $18.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $110.53.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 03:34 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Vandewinkel vs Sramkova”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Hanne Vandewinkel and Rebecca Sramkova in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Vandewinkel” if Hanne Vandewinkel wins set 2. It will resolve to “Sramkova” if Rebecca Sramkova wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores