Set 1 Winner: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva

Q: Set 1 Winner: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva

Prediction markets currently price this at 51%. A YES share costs 51.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 96.1% over 4d.

Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva$132 liquidity$0 volumecloses 4d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 51.0¢
Implied chance: 51.0%
Return if right: 96.1%
Spread cost: 51%

If you put in $100

You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.

YES wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $98.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $194.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 83.0¢
Implied chance: 83.0%
Return if right: 20.5%
Spread cost: 60%

If you put in $100

You get 120.5 shares at 83.0¢ each.

NO wins: $120.48 back, a profit of $20.48. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $31.03 of that profit. Without it you would make $51.52.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 21, 06:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Urgesi and Oksana Selekhmeteva in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Federica Urgesi” if Federica Urgesi wins the first set. It will resolve to “Oksana Selekhmeteva” if Oksana Selekhmeteva wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger match statistics.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores