Set 2 Winner: Timofeeva vs Mertens

Q: Set 2 Winner: Timofeeva vs Mertens

Prediction markets currently price this at 38%. A YES share costs 38.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 163.2% over 8d.

US Open WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens$49 liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 38.0¢
Implied chance: 38.0%
Return if right: 163.2%
Spread cost: 27%

If you put in $100

You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.

YES wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $59.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $222.58.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 76.0¢
Implied chance: 76.0%
Return if right: 31.6%
Spread cost: 30%

If you put in $100

You get 131.6 shares at 76.0¢ each.

NO wins: $131.58 back, a profit of $31.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $44.93.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 2, 08:22 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Timofeeva vs Mertens”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Elise Mertens in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Timofeeva” if Maria Timofeeva wins set 2. It will resolve to “Mertens” if Elise Mertens wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores