Set Handicap: Parry (-1.5) vs Swiatek (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Parry (-1.5) vs Swiatek (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 49%. A YES share costs 49.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 104.1% over 8d.

Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parry$11k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 49.0¢
Implied chance: 49.0%
Return if right: 104.1%
Spread cost: 64%

If you put in $100

You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.

YES wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $188.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $292.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.0¢
Implied chance: 98.0%
Return if right: 2.0%
Spread cost: 94%

If you put in $100

You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.

NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $32.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $34.23.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 18, 04:31 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Diane Parry and Iga Swiatek in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Parry" if Diane Parry wins by 2 or more sets than Iga Swiatek, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Swiatek." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores