Set 2 Winner: Svitolina vs Sierra

Q: Set 2 Winner: Svitolina vs Sierra

Prediction markets currently price this at 89%. A YES share costs 89.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 12.4% over 9d.

US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra$608 liquidity$0 volumecloses 9d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 89.0¢
Implied chance: 89.0%
Return if right: 12.4%
Spread cost: 90%

If you put in $100

You get 112.4 shares at 89.0¢ each.

YES wins: $112.36 back, a profit of $12.36. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $107.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $119.78.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.0¢
Implied chance: 98.0%
Return if right: 2.0%
Spread cost: 98%

If you put in $100

You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.

NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $81.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $83.49.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 28, 08:22 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Svitolina vs Sierra”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Solana Sierra in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Svitolina” if Elina Svitolina wins set 2. It will resolve to “Sierra” if Solana Sierra wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores