Set 1 Winner: Sramkova vs Ibragimova

Q: Set 1 Winner: Sramkova vs Ibragimova

Prediction markets currently price this at 76%. A YES share costs 76.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 31.6% over 7d.

US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova$691 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 76.0¢
Implied chance: 76.0%
Return if right: 31.6%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 131.6 shares at 76.0¢ each.

YES wins: $131.58 back, a profit of $31.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.99.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 30.0¢
Implied chance: 30.0%
Return if right: 233.3%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.

NO wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $37.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $270.37.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 24, 03:51 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Sramkova and Alevtina Ibragimova in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sramkova” if Rebecca Sramkova wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ibragimova” if Alevtina Ibragimova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores