Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Maria

Q: Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Maria

Prediction markets currently price this at 78%. A YES share costs 78.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 28.2% over 8d.

Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Maria$6k liquidity$6 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 78.0¢
Implied chance: 78.0%
Return if right: 28.2%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 128.2 shares at 78.0¢ each.

YES wins: $128.21 back, a profit of $28.21. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $33.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 28.0¢
Implied chance: 28.0%
Return if right: 257.1%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 357.1 shares at 28.0¢ each.

NO wins: $357.14 back, a profit of $257.14. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $42.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $300.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 14, 04:02 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Maria”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Shnaider and Tatjana Maria in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Tatjana Maria. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Diana Shnaider. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores