US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita

Q: US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita

Prediction markets currently price this at 60%. A YES share costs 60.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 66.7% over 8d.

US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita$5k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 60.0¢
Implied chance: 60.0%
Return if right: 66.7%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.

YES wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $72.41.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 44.0¢
Implied chance: 44.0%
Return if right: 127.3%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 227.3 shares at 44.0¢ each.

NO wins: $227.27 back, a profit of $127.27. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $138.10.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 24, 04:39 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Semenistaja and Hayu Kinoshita in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Hayu Kinoshita. This market will resolve to 'Hayu Kinoshita' if Hayu Kinoshita advances against Darja Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores