Set Handicap: Julia Grabher (-1.5) vs Jennifer Ruggeri (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Julia Grabher (-1.5) vs Jennifer Ruggeri (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 61%. A YES share costs 61.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 63.9% over 4d.

Tolentino: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Julia Grabher$177 liquidity$0 volumecloses 4d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 61.0¢
Implied chance: 61.0%
Return if right: 63.9%
Spread cost: 25%

If you put in $100

You get 163.9 shares at 61.0¢ each.

YES wins: $163.93 back, a profit of $63.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $21.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $85.19.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 53.0¢
Implied chance: 53.0%
Return if right: 88.7%
Spread cost: 24%

If you put in $100

You get 188.7 shares at 53.0¢ each.

NO wins: $188.68 back, a profit of $88.68. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $28.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $117.39.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 22, 08:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Grabher and Jennifer Ruggeri in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Julia Grabher" if Julia Grabher wins by 2 or more sets than Jennifer Ruggeri, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Jennifer Ruggeri." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Julia Grabher can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Jennifer Ruggeri." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger results.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores