Set Handicap: Podlinska (-1.5) vs Valdmannova (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Podlinska (-1.5) vs Valdmannova (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 12%. A YES share costs 12.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 733.3% over 7h.

Warsaw: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannova$9k liquidity$14 volumecloses 7h

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 12.0¢
Implied chance: 12.0%
Return if right: 733.3%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 833.3 shares at 12.0¢ each.

YES wins: $833.33 back, a profit of $733.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $119.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $852.38.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 91.0¢
Implied chance: 91.0%
Return if right: 9.9%
Spread cost: 16%

If you put in $100

You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.

NO wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.73.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 4, 12:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Marcelina Podlinska and Vendula Valdmannova in the Warsaw, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Podlinska" if Marcelina Podlinska wins by 2 or more sets than Vendula Valdmannova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Valdmannova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger results.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores