Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs Swiatek
BUY YES
- Cost
- 37.0¢
- Implied chance
- 37.0%
- Return if right
- 170.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.
YES wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $177.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 65.0¢
- Implied chance
- 65.0%
- Return if right
- 53.8%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.
NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $56.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner36.0%
- Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.559.5%
- Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.546.0%
- Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.537.0%
- Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner35.0%
- Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.547.5%
Latest: Aug 22, 03:13 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Swiatek into Cincinnati semis after Rybakina injuryAl Jazeera · 18h ago
- Rybakina retires injured in quarter-final against SwiatekBBC Sport · 21h ago
- Swiatek defeats Rybakina to claim Canadian Open titleAl Jazeera · 8d ago
- Swiatek answers internet critics with Toronto titleBBC Sport · 8d ago
- Swiatek sinks Svitolina to set up Rybakina title clash in TorontoAl Jazeera · 9d ago
- Swiatek into first final of her 'toughest season'BBC Sport · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs Swiatek”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Pegula” if Jessica Pegula wins the first set. It will resolve to “Swiatek” if Iga Swiatek wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Other outcomes in Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek
- Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5
- Jessica Pegula vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 22.5
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 23.5
- Set 2 Winner: Pegula vs Swiatek
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
- Pegula vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
- Cincinnati Open: Completed Match: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek