US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin

Q: US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin

Prediction markets currently price this at 94%. A YES share costs 94.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 6.4% over 9d.

US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin$10k liquidity$4 volumecloses 9d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 94.0¢
Implied chance: 94.0%
Return if right: 6.4%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.

YES wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.14 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.53.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 8.0¢
Implied chance: 8.0%
Return if right: 1150.0%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 1250.0 shares at 8.0¢ each.

NO wins: $1250.00 back, a profit of $1150.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $178.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $1328.57.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 31, 01:56 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Venus Williams bows out of US Open with straight-sets defeat to Sofia KeninAl Jazeera · 5h ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Sofia Kenin in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Sofia Kenin. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kenin' if Sofia Kenin advances against Jessica Pegula. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores