Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs McNally

Q: Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs McNally

Prediction markets currently price this at 63%. A YES share costs 63.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 58.7% over 9d.

US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally$727 liquidity$0 volumecloses 9d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 63.0¢
Implied chance: 63.0%
Return if right: 58.7%
Spread cost: 28%

If you put in $100

You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.

YES wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.09 of that profit. Without it you would make $81.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 53.0¢
Implied chance: 53.0%
Return if right: 88.7%
Spread cost: 27%

If you put in $100

You get 188.7 shares at 53.0¢ each.

NO wins: $188.68 back, a profit of $88.68. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $33.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $122.22.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 1, 02:25 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Global Crude Refining Has No Margin for Error, Says Rapidan’s McNallyBloomberg · 11d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs McNally”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Navarro and Caty McNally in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Navarro” if Emma Navarro wins the first set. It will resolve to “McNally” if Caty McNally wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores