Set Handicap: Knutson (-1.5) vs Mikulskyte (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Knutson (-1.5) vs Mikulskyte (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 88%. A YES share costs 88.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 13.6% over 3d.

Warsaw: Justina Mikulskyte vs Gabriela Knutson$371 liquidity$915 volumecloses 3d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 88.0¢
Implied chance: 88.0%
Return if right: 13.6%
Spread cost: 52%

If you put in $100

You get 113.6 shares at 88.0¢ each.

YES wins: $113.64 back, a profit of $13.64. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $28.21.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 32.0¢
Implied chance: 32.0%
Return if right: 212.5%
Spread cost: 40%

If you put in $100

You get 312.5 shares at 32.0¢ each.

NO wins: $312.50 back, a profit of $212.50. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $142.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $354.55.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

No price history for this window.

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Knutson and Justina Mikulskyte in the Warsaw, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Knutson" if Gabriela Knutson wins by 2 or more sets than Justina Mikulskyte, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mikulskyte." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger results.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores