Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Frech (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Frech (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 66%. A YES share costs 66.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 51.5% over 8d.

Cincinnati Open: Magdalena Frech vs Elena Rybakina$7k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 66.0¢
Implied chance: 66.0%
Return if right: 51.5%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 151.5 shares at 66.0¢ each.

YES wins: $151.52 back, a profit of $51.52. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 37.0¢
Implied chance: 37.0%
Return if right: 170.3%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.

NO wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 17, 01:01 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Magdalena Frech in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Rybakina" if Elena Rybakina wins by 2 or more sets than Magdalena Frech, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Frech." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores