Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 38%. A YES share costs 38.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 163.2% over 8d.

National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff$16k liquidity$139 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 38.0¢
Implied chance: 38.0%
Return if right: 163.2%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.

YES wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $170.27.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 64.0¢
Implied chance: 64.0%
Return if right: 56.3%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 156.3 shares at 64.0¢ each.

NO wins: $156.25 back, a profit of $56.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $58.73.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 08:47 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Coco Gauff and Belinda Bencic in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gauff" if Coco Gauff wins by 2 or more sets than Belinda Bencic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Bencic." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores