Set 2 Winner: Bejlek vs Alexandrova

Q: Set 2 Winner: Bejlek vs Alexandrova

Prediction markets currently price this at 54%. A YES share costs 54.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 85.2% over 8d.

Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova$65 liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 54.0¢
Implied chance: 54.0%
Return if right: 85.2%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.

YES wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $108.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 58.0¢
Implied chance: 58.0%
Return if right: 72.4%
Spread cost: 22%

If you put in $100

You get 172.4 shares at 58.0¢ each.

NO wins: $172.41 back, a profit of $72.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $19.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $92.31.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 17, 08:31 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

World number one Sabalenka upset by Alexandrova at Canadian OpenAl Jazeera · 8d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Bejlek vs Alexandrova”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Bejlek and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bejlek” if Sara Bejlek wins set 2. It will resolve to “Alexandrova” if Ekaterina Alexandrova wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores