Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)

Q: Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 51%. A YES share costs 51.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 96.1% over 6h.

New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun$27k liquidity$1k volumecloses 3h

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 51.0¢
Implied chance: 51.0%
Return if right: 96.1%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.

YES wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 50.0¢
Implied chance: 50.0%
Return if right: 100.0%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 200.0 shares at 50.0¢ each.

NO wins: $200.00 back, a profit of $100.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 15, 02:27 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Why you should back the Indiana Fever to cover the spread against the New York Liberty TuesdayFox News · 4d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 15 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Liberty" if the New York Liberty win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.wnba.com/