Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever

Q: Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever

Prediction markets currently price this at 26%. A YES share costs 26.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 284.6% over 8h.

Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever$58k liquidity$12k volumecloses 8h

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 26.0¢
Implied chance: 26.0%
Return if right: 284.6%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 384.6 shares at 26.0¢ each.

YES wins: $384.62 back, a profit of $284.62. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $292.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 75.0¢
Implied chance: 75.0%
Return if right: 33.3%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 133.3 shares at 75.0¢ each.

NO wins: $133.33 back, a profit of $33.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $34.23.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 14, 03:36 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 14 at 7:30PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Source: https://www.wnba.com/scores