Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)

Q: Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 56%. A YES share costs 56.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 78.6% over 15h.

Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces$8k liquidity$225 volumecloses 15h

SportsGamesWNBABasketball

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 56.0¢
Implied chance: 56.0%
Return if right: 78.6%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 178.6 shares at 56.0¢ each.

YES wins: $178.57 back, a profit of $78.57. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $81.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 46.0¢
Implied chance: 46.0%
Return if right: 117.4%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.

NO wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $122.22.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 20, 11:16 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 20 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces" if the Las Vegas Aces win the game by 14 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.wnba.com/