Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 14.0¢
- Implied chance
- 14.0%
- Return if right
- 614.3%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.
YES wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $54.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $669.23.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 88.0¢
- Implied chance
- 88.0%
- Return if right
- 13.6%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 113.6 shares at 88.0¢ each.
NO wins: $113.64 back, a profit of $13.64. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.94.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 03:19 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ukraine: Russia pounds Kyiv as Zelenskyy visits SerbiaDeutsche Welle · 2d ago
- Zelenskyy Wins Serbian Pledges as Russian Influence WanesBloomberg · 2d ago
- Ukraine's Zelenskyy makes first visit to Russia-friendly SerbiaDeutsche Welle · 3d ago
- Ukrainian long-range strikes hit 2 major Russian oil refineries, Zelenskyy saysABC News · 4d ago
- Nato to ‘urgently’ get air defences for Ukraine, as Zelenskyy warns of surge in Russian missile productionThe Guardian · 5d ago
- Zelenskyy calls for more air defences as Russian attack on Kyiv kills at least 17The Guardian · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.