Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.9¢
- Implied chance
- 1.9%
- Return if right
- 5163.2%
- Spread cost
- 27%
If you put in $100
You get 5263.2 shares at 1.9¢ each.
YES wins: $5263.16 back, a profit of $5163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1879.70 of that profit. Without it you would make $7042.86.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.1¢
- Implied chance
- 99.1%
- Return if right
- 0.9%
- Spread cost
- 36%
If you put in $100
You get 100.9 shares at 99.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100.91 back, a profit of $0.91. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.42.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 07:06 PM9 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Turkey's parliament passes limited amnesty law for Kurdish PKK militantsFrance 24 · 17m ago
- Turkey Resumes Black Sea Ship Transits Via Straits After DelaysBloomberg · 1d ago
- Turkey says Iran not target of pact with Saudi Arabia, PakistanThe Hill · 2d ago
- Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey sign defense pact as Iran repeats that Hormuz deal is closeCBS News · 2d ago
- Dune Oil provides update on rebrand, Turkey exploration plans - ICYMIYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Saudi, Turkey, Pakistan pact comes amid US-Iran war falloutFrance 24 · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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