Will Zdravko Ponoš win the next Serbia presidential election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.2¢
- Implied chance
- 5.2%
- Return if right
- 1823.1%
- Spread cost
- 45%
If you put in $100
You get 1923.1 shares at 5.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1923.08 back, a profit of $1823.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1466.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $3289.83.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.3¢
- Implied chance
- 99.3%
- Return if right
- 0.7%
- Spread cost
- 77%
If you put in $100
You get 100.7 shares at 99.3¢ each.
NO wins: $100.70 back, a profit of $0.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Zdravko Ponoš3.0%
- Branimir Nestorović3.3%
- Vladan Đokić21.5%
- Ana Brnabić9.5%
- Đuro Macut15.0%
- Ivica Dačić3.4%
Latest: Aug 10, 08:05 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Serbia and Ukraine pledge closer economic ties, eye free trade dealAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- Serbia’s Vucic attempts diplomatic ‘balancing act’ with Zelensky’s visitFrance 24 · 2d ago
- Ukraine: Russia pounds Kyiv as Zelenskyy visits SerbiaDeutsche Welle · 2d ago
- Russian strikes kill four near Kyiv, Zelensky makes landmark visit to SerbiaFrance 24 · 3d ago
- Ukraine's Zelenskyy makes first visit to Russia-friendly SerbiaDeutsche Welle · 3d ago
- Giving birth in Serbia: 'You leave your dignity at the door'Deutsche Welle · 11d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Zdravko Ponoš win the next Serbia presidential election…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Serbian government, specifically the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia (https://www.stat.gov.rs/).
Other outcomes in Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner
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