Will Zdenko Lučić be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.3¢
- Implied chance
- 9.3%
- Return if right
- 975.3%
- Spread cost
- 34%
If you put in $100
You get 1075.3 shares at 9.3¢ each.
YES wins: $1075.27 back, a profit of $975.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $499.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $1474.80.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.6¢
- Implied chance
- 96.6%
- Return if right
- 3.5%
- Spread cost
- 48%
If you put in $100
You get 103.5 shares at 96.6¢ each.
NO wins: $103.52 back, a profit of $3.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 05:30 PM
Latest news
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How this market resolves
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.