Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.3¢
- Implied chance
- 0.3%
- Return if right
- 33233.3%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 33333.3 shares at 0.3¢ each.
YES wins: $33333.33 back, a profit of $33233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $49900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 50%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.20.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo0.2%
- THIS & THAT - Stray Kids98.6%
- Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film0.2%
- Dandelion - Ella Langley0.2%
- I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen0.2%
- The Great Divide - Noah Kahan0.2%
Latest: Aug 11, 10:29 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- One of Southern California's biggest entertainment hubs has become a battleground over big-money billboardsCBS News · 10h ago
- How a California entertainment hub has become a battleground over billboardsCBS News · 10h ago
- Olivia Rodrigo Debuts ‘Pretty Sad’ Songs at Sweltering Brooklyn Surprise Show: Concert ReviewVariety · 4d ago
- A Man Is Trapped Inside a Netflix Billboard Above Sunset BoulevardThe Hollywood Reporter · 4d ago
- Inside Olivia Rodrigo’s Intimate, One-Night Only Brooklyn ConcertThe Hollywood Reporter · 4d ago
- Olivia Rodrigo Slams Trump for ‘Defunding’ Planned Parenthood: ‘We’ll Never Stop Fighting’Variety · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rod…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of August 22, 2026”. The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Other outcomes in Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of August 22
- Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?
- Will "Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?
- Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?
- Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?
- Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?
- Will "THIS & THAT - Stray Kids" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?