Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.0¢
- Implied chance
- 7.0%
- Return if right
- 1328.6%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 1428.6 shares at 7.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1428.57 back, a profit of $1328.57. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $109.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $1438.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.0¢
- Implied chance
- 94.0%
- Return if right
- 6.4%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.
NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.95.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Wisconsin surprise raises big questions about polls and Democratic votersThe Washington Post · 29m ago
- Hasan Piker warns ‘the knives will be out’ after socialist Francesca Hong falls in Wisconsin upsetFox News · 2h ago
- Why Were Polls So Wrong in the Wisconsin Governor’s Race?The New York Times · 2h ago
- Breaking down key primary race results in Minnesota and WisconsinCBS News · 4h ago
- With Crowley atop their ticket, Wisconsin Democrats hope for a 2026 sweepThe Washington Post · 4h ago
- Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifts Wisconsin governor's race in Democrats favor after Crowley winThe Hill · 5h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount b…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.