Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.6¢
- Implied chance
- 6.6%
- Return if right
- 1415.2%
- Spread cost
- 29%
If you put in $100
You get 1515.2 shares at 6.6¢ each.
YES wins: $1515.15 back, a profit of $1415.15. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $568.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $1983.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.0¢
- Implied chance
- 97.0%
- Return if right
- 3.1%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.
NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bernie's revolution gets a test run for 2028 in Michigan and WisconsinAxios · 13h ago
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- Wisconsin gubernatorial hopeful David Crowley says he's a "get stuff done Democrat" ahead of primaryCBS News · 3d ago
- Democratic socialist Hong favored in Wisconsin gubernatorial primary: Join the live discussionThe Hill · 3d ago
- Wisconsin man flies helicopter to Cabela's because the drive was too longFox News · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elect…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by November 2, 2026 11:59PM ET, the state of Wisconsin or any subdivision thereof announces that it has disqualified or will disqualify at least one individual from casting a valid vote in the 2026 midterm elections because that individual placed a bet or financial trade relating to the outcome of an election, or such a disqualification is otherwise made public. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If a qualifying announcement or disqualification is issued within the specified timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether the announcement or disqualification is later withdrawn, walked-back, or otherwise revoked. A qualifying announcement need not take legal effect, survive judicial review, or result in a vote being disqualified. A consensus of credible reporting that a disqualification has been issued will also count. Announcements that the State has received challenges from private individuals or will consider those challenges will not qualify. Such announcement or disqualification must explicitly pertain to an individual or set of individuals. General statements of the state of Wisconsin's intention or capabilities to take such action, not related to any individual, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the State of Wisconsin or any subdivision of the state; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.