Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 36.0¢
- Implied chance
- 36.0%
- Return if right
- 177.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 277.8 shares at 36.0¢ each.
YES wins: $277.78 back, a profit of $177.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 65.0¢
- Implied chance
- 65.0%
- Return if right
- 53.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.
NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 12, 12:33 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
- Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?
- Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?
- Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?
- Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
- Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?
- Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?