Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.8¢
- Implied chance
- 5.8%
- Return if right
- 1624.1%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 1724.1 shares at 5.8¢ each.
YES wins: $1724.14 back, a profit of $1624.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1217.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $2841.18.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 71%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.52.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 8, 12:03 AM
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil pr…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://sig.tse.jus.br/ords/dwapr/r/seai/sig-eleicao-resultados/home-comparecimento-votacao?p0_ano=2022). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Other outcomes in Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout
- Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?
- Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?
- Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?
- Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?