Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.9¢
- Implied chance
- 7.9%
- Return if right
- 1165.8%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 1265.8 shares at 7.9¢ each.
YES wins: $1265.82 back, a profit of $1165.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $586.03 of that profit. Without it you would make $1751.85.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.1¢
- Implied chance
- 97.1%
- Return if right
- 3.0%
- Spread cost
- 48%
If you put in $100
You get 103.0 shares at 97.1¢ each.
NO wins: $102.99 back, a profit of $2.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 07:20 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Russian court bars only anti-war party from standing in parliamentary electionsBBC News · 1h ago
- Russian Athletics files new claim against sanctionsBBC Sport · 6h ago
- Russian forces in Syria will give up control of two strategic bases on the Mediterranean coastFrance 24 · 6h ago
- Ukrainian drone attack on the Russian city of Nizhnekamsk kills 12, authorities sayABC News · 6h ago
- Ukraine drone strike on Russian oil-refining city kills 12 peopleFrance 24 · 6h ago
- Ukraine: Russian bombs injure five civilians in Sumy, authorities sayFrance 24 · 9h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parl…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Other outcomes in Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
- Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?