Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?

Q: Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 59%. A YES share costs 59.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 69.5% over 2.9mo.

Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?$88 liquidity$3k volumecloses 2.9mo

FinanceF XforexForeign ExchangedollarYen

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 59.0¢
Implied chance: 59.0%
Return if right: 69.5%
Spread cost: 67%

If you put in $100

You get 169.5 shares at 59.0¢ each.

YES wins: $169.49 back, a profit of $69.49. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $138.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $207.69.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 94.0¢
Implied chance: 94.0%
Return if right: 6.4%
Spread cost: 87%

If you put in $100

You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.

NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $41.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $48.15.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Oct 4, 04:13 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).