Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 26.0¢
- Implied chance
- 26.0%
- Return if right
- 284.6%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 384.6 shares at 26.0¢ each.
YES wins: $384.62 back, a profit of $284.62. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15.38 of that profit. Without it you would make $300.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 76.0¢
- Implied chance
- 76.0%
- Return if right
- 31.6%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 131.6 shares at 76.0¢ each.
NO wins: $131.58 back, a profit of $31.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $33.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 5, 04:13 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Iranian diplomats "kicked out" of U.S. after ignoring order to leaveAxios · 1d ago
- UK remands 2 Iranians over alleged antisemitic terror plotDeutsche Welle · 2d ago
- Two Iranian men identified Manchester synagogue as site for alleged bomb plot, court hearsThe Guardian · 2d ago
- UK-Iranian dual national bailed after RAF Fairford incident arrestBBC News · 2d ago
- Two Iranians charged over alleged plot targeting Jewish community in UKAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- U.K. police accuse 2 Iranian men of planning terror attack on Jewish communityCBS News · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Other outcomes in USD x Iranian rials End of December?
- Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
- Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?
- Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
- Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
- Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?