Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 71.0¢
- Implied chance
- 71.0%
- Return if right
- 40.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.
YES wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $41.84.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 30.0¢
- Implied chance
- 30.0%
- Return if right
- 233.3%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.
NO wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $238.98.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 31, 10:11 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- U.S. Strikes May Have Targeted a New Type of Iranian Naval MineThe New York Times · 52m ago
- New report exposes intact Iranian bunker that may hide regime's ongoing nuclear workFox News · 2h ago
- Vance defends Trump's AI post of Kharg Island bombing: "he's sending a message to the Iranians"CBS News · 6h ago
- U.S. says it targeted Iranian rocket launchers in Strait of HormuzCBS News · 7h ago
- US Forces Strike Iranian Missile Launchers Near Strait of HormuzNBC News · 11h ago
- World shares are mixed and oil prices surge after US strike on Iranian rocket launchersYahoo Finance · 16h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Other outcomes in USD x Iranian rials End of September?
- Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
- Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on September 30?
- Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on September 30?
- Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on September 30?
- Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on September 30?
- Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on September 30?