Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 11.3¢
- Implied chance
- 11.3%
- Return if right
- 785.0%
- Spread cost
- 51%
If you put in $100
You get 885.0 shares at 11.3¢ each.
YES wins: $884.96 back, a profit of $784.96. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $824.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $1609.40.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.6¢
- Implied chance
- 99.6%
- Return if right
- 0.4%
- Spread cost
- 94%
If you put in $100
You get 100.4 shares at 99.6¢ each.
NO wins: $100.40 back, a profit of $0.40. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 06:13 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Iranian protesters feel Trump didn't follow through on promises, New York Times reportsCBS News · 55m ago
- Iranian hackers attacked our water systems. Here are 5 things our leaders need to do nowFox News · 10h ago
- Oil prices climb as Iranian demands cloud outlook for Strait of HormuzAl Jazeera · 16h ago
- Iranian leaders demand U.S. pay for war damage or will keep Strait of Hormuz closedCBS News · 18h ago
- Iranian Demands Disrupt Trump’s Plan to End the WarYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- ‘The wealthy poor’: Soaring food prices hurt Iranian familiesAl Jazeera · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Other outcomes in USD x Iranian rials End of August?
- Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?
- Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?
- Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?
- Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?
- Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?
- Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31?