Will United Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections?

Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner$21k liquidity$3k volumecloses 1.4mo
RussiaPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsInternational Election Props
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
99.0¢
Implied chance
99.0%
Return if right
1.0%
Spread cost
31%

If you put in $100

You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.

YES wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.47.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
1.9¢
Implied chance
1.9%
Return if right
5163.2%
Spread cost
24%

If you put in $100

You get 5263.2 shares at 1.9¢ each.

NO wins: $5263.16 back, a profit of $5163.16. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1633.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $6796.55.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 29Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 04:23 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted1 further outcome not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will United Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament ”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.

Other outcomes in Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner

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