Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner$80k liquidity$18k volumecloses n/a
primary electionsHouse PrimaryRepublican PrimaryMinnesota PrimaryAugust 11 PrimariesUS Election
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This market's closing date is missing or already in the past (source: endDateIso). Any yield figure below is derived from that date and should not be trusted.

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BUY YES

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Cost
0.1¢
Implied chance
0.1%
Return if right
99900.0%
Spread cost
n/a

If you put in $100

You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.

YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%0%100%Aug 11Aug 12

Latest: Aug 12, 05:42 AM

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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