Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.4¢
- Implied chance
- 6.4%
- Return if right
- 1462.5%
- Spread cost
- 21%
If you put in $100
You get 1562.5 shares at 6.4¢ each.
YES wins: $1562.50 back, a profit of $1462.50. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $398.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $1860.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.2¢
- Implied chance
- 96.2%
- Return if right
- 4.0%
- Spread cost
- 26%
If you put in $100
You get 104.0 shares at 96.2¢ each.
NO wins: $103.95 back, a profit of $3.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.37.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.