Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in August?

Q: Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in August?

Prediction markets currently price this at 75%. A YES share costs 75.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 33.3% over 21d.

Who will Trump speak to in August?$97 liquidity$253 volumecloses 21d

TrumpPoliticsGeopolitics

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 75.0¢
Implied chance: 75.0%
Return if right: 33.3%
Spread cost: 73%

If you put in $100

You get 133.3 shares at 75.0¢ each.

YES wins: $133.33 back, a profit of $33.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $91.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $124.72.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 86.0¢
Implied chance: 86.0%
Return if right: 16.3%
Spread cost: 80%

If you put in $100

You get 116.3 shares at 86.0¢ each.

NO wins: $116.28 back, a profit of $16.28. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $63.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $80.18.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 05:21 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in August?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.