Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?

Q: Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 10%. A YES share costs 10.2¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 880.4% over 4.7mo.

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?$2k liquidity$41k volumecloses 4.7mo

PoliticsTrumpGeopoliticsH-1B

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 10.2¢
Implied chance: 10.2%
Return if right: 880.4%
Spread cost: 31%

If you put in $100

You get 980.4 shares at 10.2¢ each.

YES wins: $980.39 back, a profit of $880.39. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $398.92 of that profit. Without it you would make $1279.31.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 95.7¢
Implied chance: 95.7%
Return if right: 4.5%
Spread cost: 43%

If you put in $100

You get 104.5 shares at 95.7¢ each.

NO wins: $104.49 back, a profit of $4.49. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.32 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 07:17 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.