Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 98.7¢
- Implied chance
- 98.7%
- Return if right
- 1.3%
- Spread cost
- 85%
If you put in $100
You get 101.3 shares at 98.7¢ each.
YES wins: $101.32 back, a profit of $1.32. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.81.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 14.9¢
- Implied chance
- 14.9%
- Return if right
- 571.1%
- Spread cost
- 50%
If you put in $100
You get 671.1 shares at 14.9¢ each.
NO wins: $671.14 back, a profit of $571.14. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $563.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $1134.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Transgender94.8%
- Lindsey / Graham100.0%
- Pearl Harbor100.0%
- You Know What / You Know Who99.8%
- Ballroom84.5%
- Barack Hussein Obama84.5%
Latest: Aug 11, 10:48 AM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- The transgender controversy surrounding the WNBABBC Sport · 19h ago
- WNBA silent on whether French transgender star dominating women's league would be eligible to playFox News · 6d ago
- Social media reacts to tennis star Aryna Sabalenka's comments on WTA transgender rulesFox News · 7d ago
- Geno Segers Apologizes For Transgender Comments After ‘Hadestown’ Exit: ‘I Recognize the Impact of My Statements’Variety · 7d ago
- Tennis star Aryna Sabalenka supports WTA transgender rules, says males shouldn't face womenFox News · 7d ago
- Why the left won't win on transgender athletes in women's sportsThe Hill · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Other outcomes in What will Trump say this week? (August 10 - August 16)
- Will Trump say "Lindsey" or "Graham" this week?
- Will Trump say "You Know What" or "You Know Who" this week?
- Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week?
- Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" this week?
- Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
- Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?
- Will Trump say "Mental Institution" or "Mental Institute" this week?
- Will Trump say "No No No" this week?
- Will Trump say "Abraham Accords" this week?
- Will Trump say "Big Trouble" this week?
- Will Trump say "Justice" this week?
- Will Trump say "Who Are You" this week?
- Will Trump say "Compost" this week?