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Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?

What will Trump say this week? (August 10 - August 16)$2k liquidity$335 volumecloses 6d
TrumpMentionsPolitics
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
92.0¢
Implied chance
92.0%
Return if right
8.7%
Spread cost
42%

If you put in $100

You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.

YES wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.94.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

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Cost
18.0¢
Implied chance
18.0%
Return if right
455.6%
Spread cost
32%

If you put in $100

You get 555.6 shares at 18.0¢ each.

NO wins: $555.56 back, a profit of $455.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $213.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $669.23.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H6H1D1W1MALL
0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 11

Latest: Aug 11, 11:33 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Other outcomes in What will Trump say this week? (August 10 - August 16)

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Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week? (92% chance) | PullToPar