Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?

Q: Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 2%. A YES share costs 2.3¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 4247.8% over 21d.

Who will Trump meet with in August?$12k liquidity$10k volumecloses 21d

TrumpPoliticsGeopolitics

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 2.3¢
Implied chance: 2.3%
Return if right: 4247.8%
Spread cost: 29%

If you put in $100

You get 4347.8 shares at 2.3¢ each.

YES wins: $4347.83 back, a profit of $4247.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1712.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $5960.61.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.0¢
Implied chance: 99.0%
Return if right: 1.0%
Spread cost: 40%

If you put in $100

You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.

NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.68.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 02:15 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Xi Jinping warns world is ‘crumbling into disarray’ as 'dangerous' U.S. blockade hits markets. Protect your nest egg nowYahoo Finance · 8d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.